← All instruments: the full set
F14 · TROUBLE FINDING NEW WORK

Continued unemployment claims (insured unemployment)

1,782,000
CALM ROBUST z -0.30 DRS 95 weekly as of 2026-07-18

Where it sits: lower than ~66% of its last decade.

The full history

1967 high 19,153,000 · low 992,000 · now 1,782,000 · 8 recessions shaded 2026

How it is read

What it measures
trouble finding new work
Where it sits
lower than ~66% of its last decade: at the 34th percentile of its last decade.
z vs. its window
-0.30 (strain side: up). 519 observations in the window.
State rule
z < 1 CALM · 1 ≤ z < 2 WATCH · z ≥ 2 EXTREME, measured only toward the declared strain side.
Confidence
ROBUST : a primary official series, mechanically reported.
Reliability (DRS)
DRS 95: The 'hard to find a new job' leg of labor softening; pairs with initial claims (F9).

Where it comes from

FRED ↗ Every number on this site is reproducible from this primary source.

What it read at past stress points

Lehman, Sep 2008 3,493,000 ◆ WATCH
Q4-2018 selloff 1,770,000 · CALM
Curve inversion, Aug 2019 1,604,000 · CALM
COVID crash, Mar 2020 3,238,000 · CALM

Questions it helps answer

  • Work : Is the labor market holding, and how broadly?