Where it sits: lower than ~82% of its last decade.
The full history
1992
high -831.00 · low -132,983 · now -73,261 · 3 recessions shaded 2026
How it is read
What it measures
the goods trade gap
Where it sits
lower than ~82% of its last decade: at the 18th percentile of its last decade.
z vs. its window
-0.77 (strain side: down). 118 observations in the window.
State rule
z < 1 CALM · 1 ≤ z < 2 WATCH · z ≥ 2 EXTREME, measured only toward the declared strain side.
Confidence
ROBUST : a primary official series, mechanically reported.
Reliability (DRS)
DRS 95: Balance on goods, balance-of-payments basis, millions of dollars, seasonally adjusted (negative = deficit). A swinging monthly series driven by energy shipments and capital-goods imports; the direction of travel is the story, not any single month's level. Census/BEA-produced.
Where it comes from
FRED ↗Every number on this site is reproducible from this primary source.