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C42 · FULL-TIME JOBS

Full-time employment level

133,659
CALM ROBUST z 0.85 DRS 95 monthly as of 2026-06-01

Where it sits: higher than ~76% of its last decade.

The full history

1968 high 135,898 · low 64,640 · now 133,659 · 8 recessions shaded 2026

How it is read

What it measures
full-time jobs
Where it sits
higher than ~76% of its last decade: at the 76th percentile of its last decade.
z vs. its window
0.85 (strain side: down). 117 observations in the window.
State rule
z < 1 CALM · 1 ≤ z < 2 WATCH · z ≥ 2 EXTREME, measured only toward the declared strain side.
Confidence
ROBUST : a primary official series, mechanically reported.
Reliability (DRS)
DRS 95: Household-survey (CPS) full-time employment level, thousands, seasonally adjusted. Grows secularly with the population, so its decade z-window sits near the top by construction — the state reads distance from typical, the trajectory reads the recent run. Noisier month-to-month than the payroll (CES) count. BLS-produced; subject to the integrity-events DRS factor.

Where it comes from

FRED ↗ Every number on this site is reproducible from this primary source.

What it read at past stress points

Lehman, Sep 2008 119,724 · CALM
Q4-2018 selloff 129,618 · CALM
Curve inversion, Aug 2019 130,921 · CALM
COVID crash, Mar 2020 128,914 · CALM