← All instruments: the full set 1960
high 10.14 · low 0.63 · now 3.34 · 9 recessions shaded 2026
C3 · FED'S PREFERRED GAUGE
Core PCE inflation, year over year
3.34
STALE ROBUST DRS 95 monthly as of 2026-07-01
This tile is stale: the value shown is the last one the source published, never a fabricated current number.
The full history
How it is read
- What it measures
- Fed's preferred gauge
- Confidence
- ROBUST : a primary official series, mechanically reported.
- Reliability (DRS)
- DRS 95: Computed: 100 × (PCEPILFE(t) / PCEPILFE(t−12m) − 1).
Where it comes from
DERIVED ↗ Every number on this site is reproducible from this primary source.
What it read at past stress points
| Lehman, Sep 2008 | 2.04 | · CALM |
|---|---|---|
| Q4-2018 selloff | 2.04 | · CALM |
| Curve inversion, Aug 2019 | 1.75 | · CALM |
| COVID crash, Mar 2020 | 1.53 | · CALM |
Questions it helps answer
- Prices : Are prices behaving, and believed?